freebsd-questions-local at be-well.ilk.org
Tue Apr 19 21:43:22 UTC 2016
"Valeri Galtsev" <galtsev at kicp.uchicago.edu> writes:
> On Tue, April 19, 2016 9:38 am, Steve O'Hara-Smith wrote:
>> On Mon, 18 Apr 2016 17:05:22 -0500 (CDT)
>> "Valeri Galtsev" <galtsev at kicp.uchicago.edu> wrote:
>>> Not correct. First of all, in most of the cases, failure of each of the
>>> drives are independent events
>> If only that were so. When the drives are as near identical as
>> manufacturing can make them and have had very similar histories they
>> can be expected to have very similar wear and be similarly close to
>> failure at all times, which makes it likely that the load imposed by
>> one failing will push another over.
> Sigh. You need suggest some physics that will make one drive affect
> another (aged or not aged doesn't matter for me). Then you will have me in
> your team.
Correlation is not causation.
It's not a big stretch to imagine that two nearly identical mechanical
devices, operated in nearly identical conditions, might wear out in a
nearly identical way at about the same time. There is no need for one
drive to affect the other.
A fair number of people believe that this in fact occurs. I've looked
for evidence on the subject, and I haven't found anything (beyond
anecdotes) for or against the possibility.
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