Raid 1+0

Valeri Galtsev galtsev at
Tue Apr 19 21:31:44 UTC 2016

On Tue, April 19, 2016 4:11 pm, Michael Powell wrote:
> Valeri Galtsev wrote:
> [snip]
>> Even twin brothers are unlikely to die
>> during the same week or Month. This one is between fundamental
>> assumptions
>> statistics is based on.
> And yet I knew two identical twin brothers that did die at the same time!
> They were together in the same car

You see, this makes these two events not independent but correlated by the
fact they were in the same car...

Do we really need to continue this? On the other hand, two clowns may be
giving public good entertainment ;-)


> when they were obliterated by an out of
> control jack-knifed tractor trailer truck. Was a long time ago, but it
> happened.
> Just because probability may, or may not, predict a thing does not mean it
> can or cannot happen.

Nobody said it can not. One only mentioned that if single event has
probability P. probability of two such events if they are independent is P
squared, which (for small P) is much smaller than probability of single

I guess from now on I really need to go and put on a clown makeup ;-)

> -Mike
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Valeri Galtsev
Sr System Administrator
Department of Astronomy and Astrophysics
Kavli Institute for Cosmological Physics
University of Chicago
Phone: 773-702-4247

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